RNZ

2023 - 1 - 28

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This election year voters should beware of reading too much into ... (RNZ)

Opinion - Election year has begun with a bang, and already the punditry and speculation are ramping up, but Grant Duncan warns not to treat polls as gospel.

If a party is polling higher or lower, then the margin of error narrows - the further you get from 50 percent, the narrower the margin of error. The proportion of the population that holds a specified preference is estimated, and all estimates are subject to variance. A series of opinion polls can reveal trends and thus serve a purpose as public information. Responsible pollsters will report the percentage of "don't know" responses. This is expressed as a margin of error, which is normally plus or minus three percentage points. In the final three polls during the two weeks when advance voting was open, the averages were National 31.4 percent and Labour 46.3 percent. Instead, she got 35 percent and won the seat. The polls in the final fortnight were overestimating National by an average of 5.8 percentage points. But predictions based on the opinion polls were significantly wrong. The gap was closing and Labour would land on about 46 percent, or so it seemed. Already the punditry and speculation are ramping up, with anticipation building for the first opinion polls. [US presidential polls](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-why-polls-were-off-in-2020-and-why-they-werent-that-bad/) were off by about four percentage points.

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Carillon bell tower: Quake strengthening work options weighed up (RNZ)

Expensive and intrusive earthquake strengthening work on the landmark Carillon bell tower is being weighed against cheap and easy, but less durable, ...

Anything under 34 percent is earthquake-prone, the lowest category. [revealed to have failed to fix](https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/431332/wellington-carillon-tower-review-quake-assessment-leaves-risks-unresolved) the historically significant, 50m high tower. The investigation also found the different parts of the tower are likely to deform in different ways due to different stiffness. The cost estimates guessed at up to 15 percent of steel having to be replaced; any more, and it would cost more. [has till 2027](https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/455726/project-to-fix-carillon-tower-extended-by-five-years) to fix the quake-prone tower. But this would be "most disruptive to the internal layout", the engineers said.

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Lorde: Bringing the Solar Power tour home 'quite emotional' (RNZ)

One of the biggest pop stars in the world - Lorde AKA Ella Yelich-O'Connor will co-host the first hour with Charlotte and take us on a musical journey.

"I feel so lucky, I love what I do. If this is it tomorrow, I would've had a great, great run." That wasn't something that I doubted, which I am aware is a huge gift. "I love the show so much. "Often those are the best shows. The set is so beautiful.

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Businessman joins call for Cook Islands to share time with NZ (RNZ)

Rarotongan resident and businessman, Mike Pero has joined the call for the Cook Islands to share the same date with New Zealand.

Progressive Party leader and lone candidate, Te Tuhi Kelly had aligned the dates as one of his major policies during the Cook Islands 2022 general election. So, it certainly would make a big difference. Rarotongan resident and businessman, Mike Pero has joined the call for the Cook Islands to share the same date with New Zealand.

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Hymns on Sunday, 29 January 2023 (RNZ)

SONG: REJOICE! THE LORD IS KING. Artist: Choir of Westminster Abbey, James O'Donnell (dir), Robert Quinney (organ) Words/Music: Charles Wesley/George Frederick ...

I, the Lord of wind and flame, You can hear the result in this weekโ€™s programme. I, the Lord of snow and rain, I, the Lord of sea and sky, in the shelter of the fold, and so the Saviour, Saviour of the world, is come.

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