Cyclone

2023 - 2 - 9

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Image courtesy of "Stuff.co.nz"

Cyclone Gabrielle slides back closer to Auckland, with gusts of ... (Stuff.co.nz)

The MetService national forecast, issued on Thursday February 9, 2023, shows settled weather for coming days, followed by severe weather as Cyclone Gabrielle ...

[three days of supplies](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803468/cyclone-gabrielle-this-is-what-you-need-in-your-three-days-of-emergency-supplies) together in case they are stuck at home due to flooding and slips. [Twenty-one evacuation centres](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300803039/21-evacuation-centres-to-open-in-auckland-as-cyclone-gabrielle-descends) will open in Auckland in case of mass displacement. [the region’s state of emergency](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300798550/i-dropped-the-ball-auckland-mayor-apologises-as-he-extends-state-of-emergency) for another week ahead of Gabrielle making land. [Coromandel extends state of emergency as Cyclone Gabrielle approaches](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300802857/coromandel-extends-state-of-emergency-as-cyclone-gabrielle-approaches?rm=a) [killing four people](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300794810/body-of-man-located-in-onewhero-four-confirmed-dead-in-auckland-floods). [Cyclone Gabrielle could hammer Coromandel with up to 300mm of rain in 24 hours](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300802599/cyclone-gabrielle-could-hammer-coromandel-with-up-to-300mm-of-rain-in-24-hours?rm=a) [Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle set to barrel toward New Zealand](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300801825/tropical-cyclone-gabrielle-set-to-barrel-toward-new-zealand?rm=a) Severe Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle now at category three intensity as it heads towards Norfolk Island where a warning is current for a potential category two impact for Saturday and Sunday.— Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland (@BOM_Qld) A heavy rain watch is in place for Northland and Auckland from 1am Sunday, with MetService also implementing heavy rain watches for Coromandel and Gisborne later in the day. [Cyclone Gabrielle](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300802599/cyclone-gabrielle-could-hammer-coromandel-with-up-to-300mm-of-rain-in-24-hours) has intensified into a category 3 severe tropical cyclone and has tracked back slightly west, towards Auckland – but the Coromandel will still be hit the worst, forecasters say. On Friday, Gabrielle is off the coast of Queensland in the Coral Sea and is moving southeast towards Aotearoa. - Cyclone Gabrielle is heading towards Aotearoa and the first effects are expected to be felt in Northland on Sunday.

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Image courtesy of "OurAuckland"

It's time to get ready for Cyclone Gabrielle (OurAuckland)

Auckland Emergency Management is advising that all Aucklanders take the coming days to get ready for the arrival of Cyclone Gabrielle from Sunday night.

- Our biggest request is once the storm begins is to please help us get to the people who need us most. Further instability is highly possible as a result of the expected weather event. - If you think sandbags will help reduce the impact of flooding at your place, get ready now. - Landslides often show warning signs before they occur. - Many Aucklanders are looking for ways to prevent new or additional damage to property. More detailed information regarding the tracking of the cyclone and localised effects will be released on Sunday. - There is the potential for new landslides to occur and for existing landslides to reactivate. - Dangerous sea conditions, with heavy swells north of Whangaparoa from Monday into Tuesday. We still have sufficient time to prepare, and we ask that people use this time wisely and calmly.” That includes trampolines and outdoor furniture. - If your house has a red “entry prohibited” sticker, it is essential that you stay away from your property for your safety and the safety of your family. - Significant rain is expected across the region on Monday and Tuesday, with around 300mm currently forecasted for Aotea Great Barrier Island and north Auckland and 1-200mm for the rest of the region.

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Image courtesy of "New Zealand Herald"

Cyclone Gabrielle: Air New Zealand asks all passengers to ... (New Zealand Herald)

At least one Australia-based traveller said they had put off a trip to New Zealand following advice from the airline to consider postponing plans as ...

Floodwaters around and inside the terminal were up to 1m deep on January 27. If they see any risk of FOD, we will immediately close the runway – something that is standard practice for us regardless of weather conditions,” she said. Over the coming days it’s possible there may be short-notice flight delays or cancellations.” At least one Australia-based traveller said they had put off a trip to New Zealand following advice from the airline to consider postponing plans as cancellations are likely. While we are hopeful of limited disruption to travellers’ journeys, we are leaving absolutely nothing to chance with preparations under way for all scenarios to ensure their safety,” she said. Stay up to date with the latest information on your route to the airport on the

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Image courtesy of "RNZ"

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle intensifies into category 3 storm (RNZ)

It is likely to hit Northland some time on Sunday, before moving towards Auckland and the Coromandel Peninsula. MetService's advisory on Friday morning said ...

We are just tidying up the forecast and working with MetService before we announce the communities that we want to focus on to prepare," Towler said. ''The message to all people is prepare yourselves. It is very dangerous for rescue staff.'' Up to 300mm of rain is expected on the Coromandel Peninsula between Monday and Wednesday. [pic.twitter.com/3yDZsWHZlD] [February 9, 2023] "This high confidence extends to Bay of Plenty, Gisborne and easternmost Waikato on Monday and Tuesday, when there is also low confidence for Taranaki, Waitomo, Taumarunui, and the remainder of Waikato."

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

New Zealanders Told to Prepare for Worst as Cyclone Approaches (Bloomberg)

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle is forecast to lie just north of New Zealand by Sunday, bringing gale-force winds, storm surges and as much as 300 mm (12 inches) of ...

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Image courtesy of "1 News"

Cyclone Gabrielle's 'worst case' scenario for Auckland explained (1 News)

MetService meteorologist Georgina Griffiths said "even if [the storm passes] further away, Auckland should expect impacts".

but be prepared, basically, for reasonable levels of rainfall. "[Those] are the two days that Aucklanders should be preparing for now. "All of the region is at risk of impactful severe gales on Tuesday morning."

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Image courtesy of "New Zealand Herald"

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle: All you need to know (New Zealand Herald)

A “serious and significant” category three storm is tracking toward New Zealand from the Coral Sea, bringing heavy rain, strong winds and monster waves to ...

Mayor Wayne Brown urged Aucklanders to “be prepared for the worst” as the cyclone was likely to pummel the already sodden and flood-ravaged region from Sunday night. Brown urged people to check on friends, whānau and neighbours ahead of the cyclone. However, the severity of the weather and the areas affected was highly dependent on the path of the cyclone. WeatherWatch, a weather news outlet, said the cyclone could be one of the “most serious storms of the century”. “We’re preparing for the worst and hoping for the best,” Auckand Mayor Wayne Brown in a press conference. The latest MetService update now shows the Category 3 Cyclone Gabrielle, packed with 140km/h plus winds and a month’s worth of rain, will now impact from the top of the North Island to the top of the South for the first part of next week.

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Image courtesy of "Stuff.co.nz"

Cyclone Gabrielle: What is a category 3 tropical cyclone? (Stuff.co.nz)

The MetService national forecast, issued on Thursday February 9, 2023, shows settled weather for coming days, followed by severe weather as Cyclone Gabrielle ...

It struck Hawke’s Bay and Gisborne – bringing torrential rain for more than three days. [Cyclone Pam, which hit in 2015,](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/67410329/cyclone-pam-hits-new-zealand) was a category 5 cyclone at its peak but by the time it reached Aotearoa it brought heavy rain but little destruction. [Cyclone Cook arrived in 2017](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/91577795/big-cities-dodged-a-bullet-with-cyclone-cook) and was a category 3 at its peak, the same as Gabrielle, and it was forecast to be “the worst since 1968”, and while there were slips, flooding and downed trees, the storm had weakened when it reached Aotearoa. [ex-cyclone Dovi,](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300516477/in-pictures-flooding-slips-and-road-closures-as-extropical-cyclone-dovi-hits-the-country) which was also category 4 at its peak, hit the North Island. Stuff takes a look at what is expected from a category 3 cyclone. [Cyclone Bola,](https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/101847286/three-decades-since-cyclone-bola-devastated-the-east-coast) which was identified as being category 4 at its most severe, one category above Cyclone Gabrielle, was known as one of the most damaging storms to hit Aotearoa when it struck in 1988. [a lot of rain on the ground in Auckland](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803523/cyclone-gabrielle-likely-to-hit-coromandel-bay-of-plenty-worst) which has made the ground very sodden. [Cyclone Gabrielle reached Aotearoa](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300802599/cyclone-gabrielle-could-hammer-coromandel-with-up-to-300mm-of-rain-in-24-hours) it was likely it would have been downgraded and would be reclassified as an ex-tropical cyclone. [Cyclone Gabrielle likely to hit Coromandel, Bay of Plenty worst](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803523/cyclone-gabrielle-likely-to-hit-coromandel-bay-of-plenty-worst?rm=a) [Cyclone Gabrielle could hammer Coromandel with up to 300mm of rain in 24 hours](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300802599/cyclone-gabrielle-could-hammer-coromandel-with-up-to-300mm-of-rain-in-24-hours?rm=a) [Pacific braces for the arrival of Cyclone Gabrielle](https://www.stuff.co.nz/pou-tiaki/131194365/pacific-braces-for-the-arrival-of-cyclone-gabrielle?rm=a) [expected to hit on Sunday.](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/weather-news/300803804/live-follow-the-path-of-cyclone-gabrielle-and-latest-updates) The weather event has reached “severe” category 3 status, but what does that actually mean?

Increased Mortality Risks from a Spectrum of Causes of Tropical ... (China CDC Weekly)

Tropical cyclone (TC) has a substantial and adverse impact on non-accidental mortality. However, whether heterogeneity exists when examining deaths from ...

[Figure 2](javascript:;)). [Figure 1](javascript:;)). [Supplementary Figure S4](Supplementary Figure S4)). Southeast coastal areas were frequently affected ( [Figure 1](javascript:;)). [3](javascript:;)). Effect estimates from sensitivity analyses were consistent with the primary ones ( [Supplementary Table S3](Supplementary Table S3)). We also observed appreciable lagged effects for lower respiratory infection, asthma,influenza, and pneumonia ( [Figure 2](javascript:;)).Figure 2. [Supplementary Figure S1](/fileCCDCW/journal/article/ccdcw/2023/6/PDF/220216-fulu.pdf)). Although accidental mortality did not increase on the TC-exposed day, it did by the third day following exposure (RR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.06–1.30). We considered TC-associated risk up to six following days ( For each TC event, we classified a county as exposed if the storm’s central track came within 60 km of the county’s geographic center ( Specifically, we aimed to 1) quantify TC-associated mortality risk and identify sensitive sub-causes; 2) recognize vulnerable sub-population and regions.

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Image courtesy of "New Zealand Herald"

Cyclone Gabrielle: 10 of the worst tropical cyclones to hit NZ (New Zealand Herald)

Ex-tropical cyclone Giselle is largely remembered for creating ferocious storm conditions that sank the inter-island ferry Wāhine in Wellington Harbour with the ...

In Auckland, boats were damaged and cars were blown across lanes. For three days the storm poured out a torrent of rain from Hawke’s Bay to East Cape. Torrential rain caused flooding in many parts of the North and South islands and thousands of farm animals drowned. Thousands of people were evacuated from their homes. Roads were closed and thousands were left without power. In the South Island, where hundreds of residents north of Westport were cut off by landslides and infrastructure damage, severe storms contributed to the wettest February in the island’s history. Floods damaged houses, roads, railway lines and bridges. The Westland Milk Factory in Hokitika stopped production and dozens of farmers in the region had to dump milk because of power cuts and impassable roads. Ex-tropical cyclone Bola formed in late February 1988. In Whanganui, a state of emergency was declared and several hundred residents were asked to leave their homes, and in Kaikōura, a mudslide caused by heavy rain blocked SH1. Fifteen people were evacuated from the apartment block, and another six people were evacuated from the neighbouring properties. The Insurance Council says claims arising from the loss of the Wāhine cost $173.6 million, in values inflation adjusted to 2017, and those from the storm cost $60.8 million.

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