Cyclone Gabrielle

2023 - 2 - 9

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Image courtesy of "New Zealand Herald"

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle: Storm in Pacific named, forecast to ... (New Zealand Herald)

The Australia Bureau of Meteorology named the cyclone this afternoon, as MetService expected it to bring severe weather to the upper North Island from Sunday ...

“All main global models apart from the Chinese brings a strong extra-tropical cyclone into the upper North Island late Monday. That does depend on the forward speed, how fast the system is moving and what part of the country it moves into,” he said. “The system is expected to track southeastwards, there are some differences in how quickly it is brought southeastwards and whether it will be near the country or whether it will be a little bit further away but certainly there is a risk of further heavy rain for northern parts of the country from very late on Sunday into Tuesday,” said Little. MetService meteorologist Peter Little said the cyclone would “absolutely” head towards New Zealand but also said it was too early to say if it would track over the country or if it would be further away. “When you’re talking about a system that was once in the tropics you could be talking about a month’s worth of rain or more. “That’s the kind of detail that is going to be refined in the coming days and that detail will actually mean a lot as to which regions see the most hazardous weather,” said Noll.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

'Nervous': Tropical cyclone warning (NEWS.com.au)

A warning has been issued to Queenslanders ahead of a severe weather event brewing off the state's coast.

“There is a high chance the tropical low will develop into a tropical cyclone later today,” the bureau said. The Bureau of Meteorology issued the bulletin ahead of a potentially “severe” tropical cyclone developing 385km east of Willis Island. A warning has been issued for exposed parts of the Queensland coast as a tropical cyclone is forecast to bring wild weather this weekend.

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Image courtesy of "Education – Australian Associated Press"

Cyclone Gabrielle tracks off Queensland coast (Education – Australian Associated Press)

Emergency services on Norfolk Island have activated their cyclone response plan after a tropical low formed into Cyclone Gabrielle.

Another tropical low near the Cocos Islands, northwest of WA, has a low chance of forming into a cyclone and continues to be monitored. Emergency services on Norfolk Island have activated their cyclone response plan after a tropical low formed into Cyclone Gabrielle. The Bureau of Meteorology expects Gabrielle to intensify into a severe category-three cyclone packing winds of between 165km/h and 224km/h on Thursday.

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Image courtesy of "msnNOW"

Cyclone Gabrielle forms off Queensland coast, Norfolk island ... (msnNOW)

Tropical cyclone Gabrielle has formed off the Queensland coast. The storm is currently enhancing and moving towards the Australian outpost.

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Image courtesy of "WeatherWatch.co.nz"

Weather headlines (x3) for Thursday: Relief in the east, Settled ... (WeatherWatch.co.nz)

Perhaps a good time to prepare for North Islanders, tropical cyclone Gabrielle is beckoning. MSLP / Rain map – Fri 10th Feb 2023 4:00pm – Weatherzone.com ...

The short summary is there is potentially going to be some very heavy rain in store for the upper and eastern North Island. A high pressure system sits over the country on Friday, some rain or showers for the eastern North Island, not to bad elsewhere. No doubt Philip Duncan will have an updated in depth look at the current details regarding this system this morning so check back here on weatherwatch.co.nz soon.

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Image courtesy of "New Zealand Herald"

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle could be one of the most serious storms ... (New Zealand Herald)

WeatherWatch NZ have forecasted the storm to hit the northern half of the North Island.

Global modelling is highly aligned, but not 100% locked in. MetService is expecting the cyclone to bring severe weather to the upper North Island from Sunday through to Wednesday. A New Zealand forecaster has branded the impending cyclone set to hit the top of the North Island as one of the “most serious storms of the century”.

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Image courtesy of "Stuff.co.nz"

Cyclone Gabrielle to become category 2 storm this morning as it ... (Stuff.co.nz)

The storm is predicted to bring more severe weather to the upper North Island on Sunday, a fortnight after devastating rain hammered Auckland, bringing ...

Gabrielle is still expected to move southeastward & likely to start impacting the upper North Island from Sunday.— MetService (@MetService) that’s a flooding risk.” So far, no cyclone warning has been issued for Norfolk Island. The rain, he said, could exacerbate conditions in the already wet upper North Island and could lead to slips. Northland might see severe gales and a warning amount of rain on Sunday, but the cyclone is expected to approach the North Island on Monday. Gabrielle is expected to become a category 2 storm on Thursday morning and then intensify to category 3 later in the day. 🌀Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle is swirling & intensifying in the Coral Sea as seen on the satellite imagery. A projection published by Niwa on Thursday morning showed that Gabrielle could hit almost anywhere in the North Island – including Auckland and Wellington. [Potential cyclone on track to hit North Island will form a day sooner](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300800855/potential-cyclone-on-track-to-hit-north-island-will-form-a-day-sooner?rm=a) [Cyclone Gabrielle](https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300801825/tropical-cyclone-gabrielle-set-to-barrel-toward-new-zealand) is expected to bring “significant severe weather” to the central and upper North Island, MetService says. - Cyclone Gabrielle expected to hit the upper North Island on Monday Wellington and the upper South Island might even be in the firing line, with severe gales predicted and a moderate chance of heavy rain for some easterly areas.

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Image courtesy of "Otago Daily Times"

Tropical cyclone expected to hit upper North Island (Otago Daily Times)

Forecaster Hauraki Gulf Weather said a synoptic scale rotation is now quite evident on the sat loop as it continues to track over the Coral Sea. MetService have ...

"All main global models apart from the Chinese brings a strong extra-tropical cyclone into the upper North Island late Monday. That does depend on the forward speed, how fast the system is moving and what part of the country it moves into," he said. "A very small change in the next couple of days could end up with a different picture," he said. "When you’re talking about a system that was once in the tropics you could be talking about a month’s worth of rain or more. "It’s going to come pretty close to New Zealand, now in terms of the exact track, say just to the west of the North Island or just to the east of the North Island. A New Zealand forecaster has branded the impending cyclone set to hit the top of the North Island as potentially one of the “most serious storms to hit NZ this century”.

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Image courtesy of "WeatherWatch.co.nz"

Weather headlines (x3) for Thursday: Relief in the east, Settled ... (WeatherWatch.co.nz)

Perhaps a good time to prepare for North Islanders, tropical cyclone Gabrielle is beckoning. MSLP / Rain map – Fri 10th Feb 2023 4:00pm – Weatherzone.com ...

The short summary is there is potentially going to be some very heavy rain in store for the upper and eastern North Island. A high pressure system sits over the country on Friday, some rain or showers for the eastern North Island, not to bad elsewhere. No doubt Philip Duncan will have an updated in depth look at the current details regarding this system this morning so check back here on weatherwatch.co.nz soon.

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