Tropical cyclones

2023 - 2 - 28

First Street Foundation and Arup Release Latest Report Finding ... (Arup)

The model finds that over the next 30 years, over 13.4 million properties that are not currently at risk will be exposed to tropical cyclones. This increasing ...

This shift in location and strength of hurricanes in Florida alone results in a dramatic increase in the number of properties that may face a Category 5 hurricane, rising from 2.5 million in 2023 to an anticipated 4.1 million by 2053. The research also demonstrates that Florida, the most exposed state, can expect a shift in the landfall of hurricanes from the south in cities such as Miami, to more northern locations, such as Jacksonville. [First Street Foundation](https://firststreet.org/), in partnership with global sustainable development consultancy Arup, provides a peer-reviewed wind model that uses open science to identify the likelihood and financial impacts of tropical cyclones for all properties in the contiguous United States today, and up to 30 years in the future under a changing climate.

New report assesses property risk for millions due to destructive ... (FOX 10 News Phoenix)

An extensive risk of property damage from future tropical storms and hurricanes is predicted along the Southeast and Gulf coasts.

"In the North Atlantic, the proportion of major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 and 5) has increased by four times since the 1980's, from about 10% of all tropical cyclone events to over 40% of all events today," the report said. With that increase in exposure, the First Street Foundation expects annual damages to increase by 50.3%. The impact on buildings in the Northeast is expected to increase by about 87% over the next 30 years, according to the First Street Foundation report. THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE EXPLAINED](https://www.foxweather.com/learn/saffir-simpson-hurricane-wind-scale-hurricane-ratings) [Hurricane Ian](https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/by-the-numbers-hurricane-ian-catastrophic-damage) slammed into Florida's southwestern coast as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 150 mph. Buildings across the region that have not been built to a code considering high wind speeds, and therefore, more damage and destruction is likely. [EXPANDED TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOKS, NEW NAMES IN STORE FOR THE 2023 HURRICANE SEASON](https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/what-to-expect-tropical-weather-2023) "The annual economic costs have increased each of the last four decades," the report said. Water temperatures must be at least 80 degrees for tropical storms and hurricanes to develop. between 1980 and 2022, with an average of about $21 billion in damages per event. Such was the case in September when powerful Water is the No.

Hurricanes could push deeper into U.S. in coming decades (Yahoo News)

Stronger storms fueled by climate change will penetrate deeper into the United States and threaten parts of the country unaccustomed to high-speed winds, ...

Hurricane winds will get stronger in states like Illinois and ... (CNBC)

Inland states including Illinois, Kentucky and Tennessee could see wind speeds rise from 87 mph to 97 mph in hurricanes, according to a First Street ...

The methodology included measurements of more than 50,000 synthetic storm tracks to determine sustained wind direction and speed. The mid-Atlantic region will experience the largest rise in maximum wind speeds, the report found. The projections come as scores of residents across southwest Florida struggle in the aftermath of Hurricane Ian, which made landfall last September, killing 150 people and leaving hundreds of others displaced. Of that increased amount of damage, about $1 billion is projected to come from higher exposure in Florida alone. could experience an annual loss of $18.5 billion from hurricane-force winds that would eventually rise to $20 billion in 2053. at risk over the next three decades, according to a

Study: Devastating effects of hurricanes will reach farther inland due ... (WTSP.com)

A study just released by the nonprofit First Street Foundation suggests worsening wind speeds will account for much of the damage associated with ...

Back-to-back hurricanes are likely to happen more often, study finds (FOX40)

Using computer simulations, scientists at Princeton University calculate that the deadly storm duet that used to happen once every few decades could happen ...

Hurricanes Moving Farther North to Pummel Millions More Homes in ... (Insurance Journal)

Is it possible to predict exactly where the wind will blow? How about where it will blow 30 years from now? The First Street Foundation, a nonprofit that.

Each time one model is combined with another it adds another degree of uncertainty to the outcome, said Mona Hemmati, a postdoctoral researcher at Columbia University’s Climate School who does similar modeling. After 1992’s Hurricane Andrew, Florida adopted some of the toughest building codes related to wind in the nation. As it has done previously for its risk models for flood, wildfires and heat, First Street will release a wind-risk calculator that can look at individual properties. In the future, they determined, more storms in the US would likely reach a strength of Category 3 or higher. Annual damages from high winds will rise by $1.5 billion to nearly $20 billion in 2053, according to the report, with damages rising the most — 87% — in the Northeast US. Study researchers estimated the maximum speed of such storms’ 3-second gusts of high wind, which cause the majority of severe wind damage.