Ever wondered how the Associated Press calls election winners? Here's the inside scoop on their mathematical wizardry that keeps the world tuned in!
When election day rolls around, millions of eyes turn to the Associated Press (AP) to divulge who the winners are in nearly 7,000 races across the United States. Unlike many other news agencies that make predictions, the AP prides itself on generating declarations based on meticulous math and well-established methodologies, honed over a whopping 170 years of experience. As the saying goes, ‘Numbers don’t lie,’ and neither does the AP when they call a race.
David Scott from the AP elaborates on their unique calling process, revealing the intriguing concept of the 'red mirage,' which refers to the initial results that can appear disproportionately favorable to one candidate before later counts adjust the real picture. With scores of reporters and analysts working tirelessly behind the scenes, the AP employs a blend of technology and old-school methods, including the infamous whiteboard, to visualize and manage the flurry of data coming in from across the nation.
So, how does the AP do it all? Their election decision desk employs advanced algorithms and long-standing human expertise to analyze incoming votes and determine a winner. During that crucial moment when polls close, they can project the outcomes almost immediately, especially in uncontested races where only one candidate appears on the ballot. As a result, while other outlets may be fumbling through the fog of uncertainty, AP’s rapid, reliable reporting keeps us all in the loop.
But that’s not all—election nights with the AP can resemble a scene out of a chemistry lab, buzzing with energy and filled with numbers dancing on screens. It’s a delightful blend of chaos and calculated precision that not only informs the public but also fuels the political discussions in living rooms and pubs alike.
Interesting fact: The Associated Press was the first news organization to wire news stories over telegraph back in 1846! Talk about taking news to new heights, right? Another tidbit—while you might think New Zealand has its own transformative election, it’s still the AP’s calling mechanisms that inspire electoral coverage the world over, showing that sometimes it's the unassuming number crunchers who hold the keys to democracy!
Here at NPR, we rely on the Associated Press for our election results. The news agency doesn't make projections, but rather declarations based on math.
AP's David Scott talks about how the newsroom predicts who won, the 'red mirage' and one county's whiteboard.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Hundreds of news organizations, readers, listeners and viewers will look to the The Associated Press Decision Desk on Nov.
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